Wednesday, January 14, 2015

OSCAR 2015- NOMINATIONS PREDICTION




2014 has been one of the most boring Awards season, with more than usual sore shot nominees and winners. But Oscars have been known for a few surprise nominations like the golden globes are known for the surprise wins. Like in 2012 the Beasts of the Southern Wild became a darling in nominations or when Amour gained a best picture nominee or when The Toy Story 3 picked up a Best Picture nomination. So be ready for 1 or 2 surprises.

BEST FILM- Gone Girl won’t be nominated for Best Film


1. Boyhood
2. Birdman
3. The Grand Budapest Hotel
4. The Theory of everything
5. The Imitation game
6. Foxcatcher
7. Selma
8. Nightcrawler
9. American Sniper

The first 5 have their spot fixed. While a lot of momentum has been gained for the female director of Selma and the film itself, some problem due to late screeners are being cited. Foxcatcher has lost its steam over the past few months and could be replaced by either of the dark horses. Nightcrawler and Whiplash are also not very sure nominees. The weirdest thing would be if Into the woods managed a nod. But I wouldn’t be surprised if a foreign language film like Amour gets a nod here, but no film has the widespread acclaim as Amour.

Dark Horses-
10. Whiplash
11. Gone Girl

BEST ACTOR


1. Eddie Redmayne, "The Theory of everything"
2. Michael Keaton, "Birdman"
3. Benedict Cumberbatch, "The Imitation Game"
4. Steve Carell, "Foxcatcher"
5. Jake Gyllenhaal, "Nightcrawler"

This being very competitive like very year, I am sure the 4th or 5th person could be somebody from the below dark Horses.

Dark Horses-
6. David Oyelowo, "Selma"
7. Bradley Cooper, "American Sniper"

BEST ACTRESS


1. Julianne Moore, "Still Alice"
2. Reese Witherspoon, "Wild"
3. Felicity Jones, "The Theory of everything"
4. Rosamund Pike, "Gone Girl"
5. Jennifer Aniston, "Cake"

Thank god for Reese Witherspoon, who is responsible for 2 of the nominations here- As producer of Gone Girl and Wild in which she stars herself.


Dark Horse-
I love Marion Cotillard and her role in Two Days and One Night has been widely acclaimed. But who will be snubbed if she gets a nod?
Amy Adams, although won Best Actress at the recent Golden Globes won't manage a nomination here at the Oscars which could be her 6th nomination in last 9 years.

BEST DIRECTOR


1. Richard Linklater, "Boyhood"
2. Alejandro González Iñárritu, "Birdman"
3. Wes Anderson, "The Grand Budapest Hotel"
4. Ava DuVernay, "Selma"
5. Morten Tyldum, "The Imitation Game"

Dark Horse-

6. Damian Chazelle, "Whiplash"
7. Clint Eastwood, "American Sniper"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR


1. Robert Duvall, "The Judge"
2. Ethan Hawke, "Boyhood"
3. Edward Norton, "Birdman"
4. Mark Ruffalo, "Foxcatcher"
5. J.K. Simmons, "Whiplash"

Dark Horse-
None

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Jessica Chastain won't be nominated


1. Patricia Arquettte, "Boyhood"
2. Keira Knightley, "The Imitation Game"
3. Emma Stone, "Birdman"
4. Meryl Streep, "Into the Woods"
5. Rene Russo, "Nightcrawler"

The 1st 3 nominees are a lock and I would like the 4th and 5th to be replaced with Chastain or Twilda or Laura Dern.


Dark Horses-
Laura Dern, "Wild"
Jessica Chastain, "A most Violent Year'
Twilda Swinton, "Snowpiercer"
Carrie Coon, "Gone Girl"

BEST ANIMATED FILM


1. "The LEGO Movie"
2. "How to Train Your Dragon 2"
3. "Big Hero 6"
4. "The Boxtrolls"
5. "Song of the Sea"

Dark horse-
The Tale of Princess Kaguya


P.s- Best Film and Actor are very competitive and I would be surprised if I got them all correct. Similarly I would be surprised if I got any in Actress or Supp Actor incorrect. I would love if I am incorrect about Supp Actress, although I fear I am not.

Sunday, January 11, 2015

PREDICTING THE GLOBES: And the Golden Globe goes to...




Let me get one thing straight from the onset. While the Oscars are reliable in terms of their winners, the Golden Globes are known to be the Oscar's drunken, unpredictable cousin. Thanks to Tina fey and Amy Poehler the Golden globes have reached anticipation near equal to the Oscars.

Despite all this Globes are the best Oscar predictors. For example last year’s major Globe winners — “12 Years a Slave,” Matthew McConaughey, Cate Blanchett and Alfonso CuaronIf all went on to win their respective Oscars after winning the globes. If Jeniffer Aniston wins Best actress for cake, she will be sure of a nomination at the Oscars.


Best Motion Picture, Drama

“Boyhood”
“Foxcatcher”
“The Imitation Game”
“Selma”
“The Theory of Everything”


Will win: “Boyhood”
Should win: “Boyhood”

Best Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy
“Birdman”
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“Into the Woods”
“Pride”
“St. Vincent”


Will win: “Birdman”
Should win: “Birdman”

Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama
Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher”
Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game”
Jake Gyllenhaal, “Nightcrawler”
David Oyelowo, “Selma”
Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything”


Will win: Eddie Redmayne
Should win: David Cumberbatch

Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Drama
Jennifer Aniston, “Cake”
Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything”
Julianne Moore, “Still Alice”
Rosamund Pike, “Gone Girl”
Reese Witherspoon, “Wild”


Will win: Julianne Moore
Should win: Julianne Moore

Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy
Amy Adams, “Big Eyes”
Emily Blunt, “Into The Woods”
Helen Mirren, “The Hundred-Foot Journey”
Julianne Moore, “Maps To The Stars”
Quvenzhane Wallis, “Annie”


Will win: Amy Adams
Should win: Julianne Moore

Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy
Ralph Fiennes, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Michael Keaton, “Birdman”
Bill Murray, “St. Vincent”
Joaquin Phoenix, “Inherent Vice”
Christoph Waltz, “Big Eyes”


Will win: Michael Keaton
Should win: Ralph Fiennes

Best Director – Motion Picture
Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Ava DuVernay, “Selma”
David Fincher, “Gone Girl”
Alejandro González Iñárritu, “Birdman”
Richard Linklater, “Boyhood”


Will win: “Boyhood”
Should win: “Boyhood”


Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood”
Jessica Chastain, “A Most Violent Year”
Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game”
Emma Stone, “Birdman”
Meryl Streep, “Into The Woods”


Will win: Patricia Arquette
Should win: Patricia Arquette


Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
Robert Duvall, “The Judge”
Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood”
Edward Norton, “Birdman”
Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher”
J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash”


Will win: J.K. Simmons
Should win: J.K. Simmons


Best Animated Feature Film
“Big Hero 6”
“The Book of Life”
“The Boxtrolls”
“How to Train Your Dragon 2”
“The LEGO Movie”


Will win: “The LEGO Movie”
Should win: “The LEGO Movie”


Best Foreign Language Film
“Force Majeure”
“Gett: The Trial of Viviane Amsalem”
“Ida”
“Leviathan”
“Tangerines”


Will win: “Ida”



Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Gillian Flynn, “Gone Girl”
Richard Linklater, “Boyhood”
Alejandro González Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Armando Bo, “Birdman”
Graham Moore, “The Imitation Game”


Will win: “Birdman”
Should win: “Birdman”



Best Original Song – Motion Picture
“Big Eyes” (Big Eyes)
“Glory” (Selma)
“Mercy Is” (Noah)
“Opportunity” (Annie)
“Yellow Flicker Beat” (The Hunger Games: Mockingjay — Part I)


Will win: “Glory”
Should win: “Glory”



Best Original Score – Motion Picture
Alexandre Desplat, “The Imitation Game”
Johann Johannsson, “The Theory of Everything”
Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross, “Gone Girl”
Antonio Sanchez, “Birdman”
Hans Zimmer, “Interstellar”


Will win: “Birdman”
Should win: “Interstellar”